Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Geniuses Work on Wall Street, but not for You

Why you need to think for yourself.

From Bloomberg.com today's piece Taking Wall Street Advice in Rally Means Owing $6,000:

Anyone who did what Wall Street analysts advised last March has only losses after the biggest stock market rally in seven decades.

Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and more than a dozen other firms told clients to purchase European energy producers and U.S. drugmakers while selling banks and retailers, according to combined rankings compiled by Bloomberg. An investor who used $10,000 to buy companies in the highest-rated industries and bet on declines in the lowest since the advance began on March 9 lost everything and would owe as much as $6,000 to cover bearish trades, the data show.

The recommendations didn’t work because companies with the worst earnings led the 45 percent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since it fell to a 12-year low five months ago. Securities firms that failed to foresee that the hardest-hit stocks last year would recover fastest steered investors to drug and energy producers, which have trailed the MSCI World Index by more than 22 percentage points, the data show

Is cash really trash compared with losing all your investment plus 60% in less than half a year?

Copyright (C) Long Lake LLC 2009

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